Market Commentary

Market Commentary – Third Quarter 2021

China dominated the capital market news cycle in September, sending markets sharply lower following two months of strong gains. Default risk – with global implications – surfaced at Evergrande, China’s second largest real estate company. The ruling Communist party also cracked down on cryptocurrency use, and, more broadly, businesses and capital market activity via sweeping […]

Market Commentary – Fourth Quarter 2020

The fourth quarter of 2020 marked the reemergence of the equity bulls, as stock markets around the world accelerated to the upside starting in November. The timing was coincident with the announcement and expected rollout of several highly effective vaccine treatments for COVID-19, as well as renewed lockdowns and restrictions across many regions. Significant macroeconomic […]

Market Commentary – Third Quarter 2020

In the third quarter, economic activity bounced back forcefully from the record-breaking economic contractions the quarter earlier. Equity markets rallied alongside the improved economic data before correcting in September, as it became evident that governments globally were once again considering shutting down economies to combat the spread of COVID-19. Economic output remains far below that […]

Market Commentary – First Quarter 2020

The first quarter of 2020 started on a positive note with easing of trade tensions between the United States and China and geopolitical tensions between U.S. and Iran, but ultimately will be remembered for generations for the COVID-19 pandemic, the economic impact of government responses globally, and the record speed in which it negatively impacted […]

Market Commentary – Fourth Quarter 2019

(all returns in Canadian dollars) The fourth quarter of 2019 concluded a spectacular year for bonds and equities. Despite escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, protests against the political establishment in Hong Kong, Lebanon, Chile, Ecuador, and many other places, Brexit uncertainty, and a slowdown in the global economy, the year progressed […]

Market Commentary – Third Quarter 2019

Assisted by accommodative interest rate policies, most developed stock markets continued higher in the third quarter of 2019. This was despite ongoing problems including political uncertainties, U.S.-China trade tensions, issues in the Middle East, and concerns around slowing global economic growth. Central banks continued to ease interest rates to help boost their economies, although most […]

Market Commentary – Second Quarter 2019

Markets were generally higher in the second quarter and the U.S. S&P 500 index closed the first half of 2019 at an all-time high. Stock markets produced the strongest first half-year gains in over twenty years since 1997. However, the bond market seemed to be sending conflicting signals as U.S. interest rates have dropped back […]